Análisis Marília vs Comercial
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
48.2%
Probabilidad gana
1.5
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.9%
Empate
0-0
8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
25.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.03
Goles esperados
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-17%
-37%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 ago. 2022 |
SER
1 - 1
MAR
24%
26%
50%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 ago. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 2
NOR
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 ago. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 1
BSP
41%
24%
36%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 jul. 2022 |
COM
0 - 2
MAR
51%
26%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 jul. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 0
SER
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 ago. 2022 |
COM
0 - 1
SER
64%
22%
15%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 jul. 2022 |
COM
3 - 3
NOR
48%
27%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 jul. 2022 |
BSP
1 - 0
COM
39%
24%
38%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 jul. 2022 |
COM
0 - 2
MAR
51%
26%
23%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 jul. 2022 |
SER
0 - 3
COM
25%
26%
49%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |