Análisis Marília vs Náutico
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
38.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.42
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.5%
Empate
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
35.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.35
Goles esperados
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
+27%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 oct. 2003 |
NAU
1 - 2
MAR
66%
19%
15%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 oct. 2003 |
BOT
3 - 1
MAR
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 oct. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 0
REM
35%
25%
40%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 sep. 2003 |
CEA
2 - 2
MAR
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 sep. 2003 |
MAR
3 - 2
LON
32%
26%
43%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 oct. 2003 |
NAU
1 - 2
MAR
66%
19%
15%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 oct. 2003 |
REM
2 - 3
NAU
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 oct. 2003 |
NAU
2 - 4
BOT
39%
25%
36%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 sep. 2003 |
BOT
0 - 1
NAU
64%
21%
16%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 sep. 2003 |
NAU
4 - 1
GAM
57%
23%
21%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |