Análisis Marília vs Náutico
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
41.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.48
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.3%
Empate
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
33.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.29
Goles esperados
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-12%
+27%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 oct. 2005 |
POR
2 - 0
MAR
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 oct. 2005 |
MAR
3 - 2
GUA
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 sep. 2005 |
GUA
2 - 0
MAR
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 sep. 2005 |
MAR
3 - 1
POR
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 sep. 2005 |
NAU
3 - 0
MAR
53%
23%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -2 |
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 oct. 2005 |
NAU
1 - 0
GUA
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 oct. 2005 |
POR
1 - 2
NAU
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 sep. 2005 |
GUA
1 - 4
NAU
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 sep. 2005 |
NAU
3 - 0
MAR
53%
23%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 sep. 2005 |
NAU
3 - 1
CAX
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |