Análisis Marília vs Rio Preto
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
70.5%
Probabilidad gana
2.31
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.6%
Empate
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.9%
Probabilidad gana
0.83
Goles esperados
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
-21%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 feb. 2011 |
COM
1 - 0
MAR
19%
21%
60%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 ene. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 0
UNI
54%
23%
24%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 ene. 2011 |
CAT
3 - 1
MAR
26%
22%
52%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 ene. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 2
FER
69%
18%
13%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 ene. 2011 |
SER
1 - 1
MAR
18%
20%
62%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
Rio Preto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 feb. 2011 |
RIO
0 - 0
FER
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 ene. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 1
CAT
35%
26%
40%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 ene. 2011 |
COM
3 - 2
RIO
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 ene. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 1
AME
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 ene. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 1
RIO
68%
18%
13%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |