III Divisao Portugal . Jor. 21

Análisis Marinhense vs Sourense

Marinhense Sourense
30 ELO 39
-3.8% Tilt -2.1%
5076º Ranking ELO general 20013º
81º Ranking ELO país 332º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
35.7%
Marinhense
24.5%
Empate
39.8%
Sourense

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
35.7%
Probabilidad gana
Marinhense
1.43
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.5%
Empate
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
39.8%
Probabilidad gana
Sourense
1.52
Goles esperados
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →

Progresión del ELO

Marinhense
Sourense
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Marinhense
Marinhense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 feb. 2013
GDA
Ginásio de Alcobaça
1 - 2
Marinhense
MAR
55%
22%
23%
31 32 1 0
17 feb. 2013
MAR
Marinhense
1 - 3
Caldas
CAL
35%
24%
41%
33 38 5 -2
10 feb. 2013
BEN
Beneditense
3 - 2
Marinhense
MAR
23%
24%
53%
34 22 12 -1
03 feb. 2013
MAR
Marinhense
1 - 0
Mortágua
MOR
70%
18%
13%
34 23 11 0
27 ene. 2013
OLI
Oliveira Hospital
1 - 1
Marinhense
MAR
48%
24%
29%
34 34 0 0

Partidos

Sourense
Sourense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 feb. 2013
SOU
Sourense
2 - 0
Penelense
PEN
69%
18%
13%
37 24 13 0
17 feb. 2013
SOU
Sourense
2 - 0
Ginásio de Alcobaça
GDA
53%
23%
24%
37 34 3 0
10 feb. 2013
CAL
Caldas
0 - 1
Sourense
SOU
53%
25%
23%
36 39 3 +1
03 feb. 2013
SOU
Sourense
1 - 2
Beneditense
BEN
74%
17%
10%
36 21 15 0
27 ene. 2013
MOR
Mortágua
1 - 1
Sourense
SOU
21%
23%
56%
37 22 15 -1
X