Análisis Mataronesa vs Alella
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
74.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.7
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
15%
Empate
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
10.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Mataronesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 may. 2015 |
NOU
4 - 6
MAT
16%
19%
65%
|
24 | 7 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 may. 2015 |
MAT
4 - 0
TPE
77%
14%
9%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 may. 2015 |
TIA
1 - 2
MAT
14%
19%
66%
|
23 | 7 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 2015 |
MAT
5 - 0
BUF
71%
16%
12%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 abr. 2015 |
PDA
1 - 2
MAT
20%
21%
59%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
Alella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 may. 2015 |
ALE
6 - 3
EMP
63%
18%
19%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 may. 2015 |
CAB
1 - 1
ALE
71%
16%
13%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 may. 2015 |
ALE
4 - 3
BUF
47%
22%
31%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 abr. 2015 |
AMA
1 - 2
ALE
80%
13%
8%
|
9 | 22 | 13 | +2 |
| 18 abr. 2015 |
ALE
0 - 4
LLA
15%
19%
66%
|
9 | 24 | 15 | 0 |