Análisis UD Melilla vs AgD Ceuta
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
48.7%
Probabilidad gana
1.49
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.1%
Empate
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
25.2%
Probabilidad gana
0.99
Goles esperados
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 ene. 2010 |
IMP
0 - 2
MEL
37%
28%
35%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 dic. 2009 |
MEL
3 - 1
ROQ
54%
25%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 dic. 2009 |
LUC
2 - 1
MEL
30%
28%
41%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 nov. 2009 |
MEL
0 - 0
POL
32%
28%
40%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 nov. 2009 |
ECI
1 - 2
MEL
41%
29%
31%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 ene. 2010 |
AGD
2 - 0
AGU
58%
24%
18%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 dic. 2009 |
LUC
1 - 1
AGD
32%
28%
40%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 dic. 2009 |
AGD
4 - 1
ECI
46%
27%
27%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 nov. 2009 |
SRQ
3 - 0
AGD
33%
28%
40%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 nov. 2009 |
AGD
2 - 2
SEV
53%
26%
21%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |