Análisis UD Melilla vs AD Llerenense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.73
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.3%
Empate
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
16%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.76
Goles esperados
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-22%
-11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 mar. 1980 |
BET
3 - 1
MEL
66%
20%
14%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 mar. 1980 |
MEL
0 - 0
UCF
61%
23%
16%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 mar. 1980 |
BAL
3 - 0
MEL
62%
23%
16%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 mar. 1980 |
MEL
2 - 1
IME
70%
20%
10%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 mar. 1980 |
EST
3 - 6
MEL
53%
26%
21%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
Partidos
AD Llerenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 mar. 1980 |
ADL
5 - 2
ANT
62%
23%
16%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 mar. 1980 |
JER
0 - 1
ADL
59%
24%
17%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 mar. 1980 |
ADL
1 - 2
MOT
56%
25%
19%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 mar. 1980 |
MER
2 - 0
ADL
70%
20%
11%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 mar. 1980 |
CDR
2 - 1
ADL
64%
22%
14%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |