Análisis UD Melilla vs CD Alcalá
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.83
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21.9%
Empate
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
13.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.69
Goles esperados
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-19%
+27%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 abr. 2005 |
RJA
1 - 0
MEL
45%
29%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 mar. 2005 |
MEL
2 - 2
CDL
52%
27%
22%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 mar. 2005 |
ECI
0 - 3
MEL
43%
30%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 mar. 2005 |
MEL
1 - 1
LOR
31%
29%
40%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 mar. 2005 |
AGD
2 - 0
MEL
49%
28%
23%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
Partidos
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 abr. 2005 |
ALC
1 - 1
CDL
30%
29%
41%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 mar. 2005 |
LOR
4 - 0
ALC
73%
17%
10%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 mar. 2005 |
ALC
1 - 0
ALG
30%
32%
38%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 mar. 2005 |
TAL
3 - 0
ALC
46%
28%
25%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 mar. 2005 |
ALC
1 - 0
CDZ
33%
28%
39%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +2 |