Análisis UD Melilla vs CD Alcalá
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
48.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.45
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.5%
Empate
0-0
9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
24.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.96
Goles esperados
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-11%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 sep. 2006 |
AGU
2 - 0
MEL
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 ago. 2006 |
MEL
1 - 1
CDL
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 may. 2006 |
PON
1 - 0
MEL
82%
13%
6%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 may. 2006 |
MEL
2 - 2
CDO
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 may. 2006 |
MEL
1 - 3
CEL
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -2 |
Partidos
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 sep. 2006 |
ALC
1 - 1
MAR
44%
28%
28%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 ago. 2006 |
VIL
0 - 3
ALC
34%
28%
38%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 may. 2006 |
ALC
1 - 1
AGU
37%
28%
35%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 may. 2006 |
EXT
1 - 2
ALC
49%
27%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 may. 2006 |
ALC
2 - 1
CDZ
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |