Análisis UD Melilla vs Poli Ejido
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
77.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.23
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.3%
15.9%
Empate
0-0
6.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
6.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.48
Goles esperados
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 abr. 2012 |
PUE
0 - 0
MEL
32%
29%
40%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 2012 |
MEL
2 - 1
SRQ
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 abr. 2012 |
LOR
2 - 1
MEL
32%
28%
41%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 mar. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 1
VIL
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 2012 |
CAD
2 - 0
MEL
65%
21%
13%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Poli Ejido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 abr. 2012 |
POL
0 - 2
ALM
24%
26%
51%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 2012 |
ROQ
2 - 0
POL
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 mar. 2012 |
POL
0 - 2
ECI
28%
27%
46%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 mar. 2012 |
LUC
2 - 0
POL
74%
18%
8%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | -1 |
| 21 mar. 2012 |
POL
0 - 2
CPC
22%
26%
52%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |