Análisis UD Melilla vs Hércules
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
28.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.87
Goles esperados
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.1%
31.1%
Empate
0-0
14.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.1%
40.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.08
Goles esperados
0-1
15.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
-14%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 oct. 1988 |
MAL
1 - 1
MEL
87%
10%
4%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 1988 |
TOR
1 - 0
MEL
36%
33%
31%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 oct. 1988 |
BAL
3 - 0
MEL
61%
26%
14%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 oct. 1988 |
MEL
4 - 2
ELD
53%
27%
21%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 oct. 1988 |
AMA
1 - 1
MEL
49%
31%
20%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 oct. 1988 |
HER
1 - 0
BAL
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 oct. 1988 |
HER
2 - 0
ALC
73%
16%
11%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 oct. 1988 |
OLI
2 - 1
HER
30%
30%
40%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 oct. 1988 |
HER
4 - 3
VIL
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 sep. 1988 |
ALC
1 - 1
HER
41%
25%
34%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |