Análisis UD Melilla vs Lorca Atlético CF
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
66.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.3%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
13.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.77
Goles esperados
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 sep. 2010 |
MUR
1 - 0
MEL
71%
19%
10%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 sep. 2010 |
MEL
1 - 0
LUC
53%
26%
21%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 sep. 2010 |
ALC
1 - 1
MEL
22%
27%
51%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 sep. 2010 |
MEL
3 - 0
ECI
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 sep. 2010 |
MEL
2 - 2
AGD
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Lorca Atlético CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 sep. 2010 |
LUC
2 - 0
LOR
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 sep. 2010 |
LOR
1 - 0
ECI
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 sep. 2010 |
SRQ
1 - 1
LOR
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 2010 |
LOR
1 - 2
AGD
30%
27%
43%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 sep. 2010 |
POL
2 - 2
LOR
71%
19%
11%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | +1 |