Análisis UD Melilla vs Lucena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.62
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
24.7%
Empate
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
17.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.75
Goles esperados
0-1
7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 ene. 2008 |
TAL
0 - 0
MEL
39%
29%
33%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 ene. 2008 |
RJA
2 - 0
MEL
39%
30%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 dic. 2007 |
MEL
1 - 1
ALG
68%
21%
12%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 dic. 2007 |
ALC
1 - 0
MEL
29%
30%
41%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 dic. 2007 |
MEL
6 - 0
MER
46%
27%
27%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +2 |
Partidos
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 ene. 2008 |
LUC
0 - 2
ECI
22%
27%
51%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 ene. 2008 |
LUC
0 - 1
PUE
30%
30%
40%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 dic. 2007 |
CDL
3 - 0
LUC
63%
23%
14%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 dic. 2007 |
LUC
1 - 1
AGD
32%
31%
37%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 dic. 2007 |
BET
0 - 0
LUC
57%
24%
19%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |