Segunda División B Jor. 12

Análisis UD Melilla vs Real Jaén

UD Melilla Real Jaén
53 ELO 54
-18% Tilt -19.9%
3906º Ranking ELO general 4980º
120º Ranking ELO país 172º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
42.6%
UD Melilla
28.8%
Empate
28.7%
Real Jaén

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
UD Melilla
1.24
Goles esperados
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.7%
28.8%
Empate
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
28.7%
Win probability
Real Jaén
0.96
Goles esperados
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

ELO19.722.825.92932.135.238.341.444.647.750.853.95760.163.266.3-33.2%-28.1%-23%-17.8%-12.7%-7.6%-2.5%2.7%7.8%12.9%18.1%23.2%28.3%33.5%38.6%43.7%48.8%54%59.1%64.2%
← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
UD Melilla
-8%
-8%
Real Jaén

Progresión del ELO

45º48º51º54º57º60ºDec .02Mar .03Jun .03Oct .03
UD Melilla
Real Jaén
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

UD Melilla
UD Melilla
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 nov. 2003
VEC
Vecindario
0 - 0
UD Melilla
MEL
47%
27%
26%
53 49 4 0
26 oct. 2003
JER
Jerez
0 - 0
UD Melilla
MEL
47%
29%
25%
53 55 2 0
19 oct. 2003
MEL
UD Melilla
2 - 0
Mérida UD
MER
45%
28%
27%
52 51 1 +1
12 oct. 2003
CDB
CD Badajoz
1 - 2
UD Melilla
MEL
71%
19%
10%
51 64 13 +1
05 oct. 2003
MEL
UD Melilla
2 - 1
Lanzarote
LAN
38%
29%
33%
50 54 4 +1

Partidos

Real Jaén
Real Jaén
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 nov. 2003
RJA
Real Jaén
0 - 0
Jerez
JER
44%
29%
27%
54 55 1 0
26 oct. 2003
MER
Mérida UD
0 - 1
Real Jaén
RJA
38%
29%
33%
54 50 4 0
19 oct. 2003
RJA
Real Jaén
0 - 2
CD Badajoz
CDB
31%
29%
40%
54 63 9 0
12 oct. 2003
LAN
Lanzarote
3 - 0
Real Jaén
RJA
57%
23%
20%
56 55 1 -2
05 oct. 2003
RJA
Real Jaén
1 - 0
Universidad LPGC
ULP
41%
29%
31%
55 58 3 +1