Análisis UD Melilla vs UCAM Murcia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
30%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.98
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.1%
29.2%
Empate
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
40.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.19
Goles esperados
0-1
13.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 ago. 2025 |
EST
0 - 2
MEL
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 ago. 2025 |
MEL
0 - 3
ALM
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 ago. 2025 |
MUR
3 - 1
MEL
67%
21%
12%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 ago. 2025 |
MEL
0 - 0
CAR
14%
20%
67%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 may. 2025 |
MEL
2 - 2
PAS
64%
22%
14%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
Partidos
UCAM Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 ago. 2025 |
ALC
0 - 0
UCA
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 ago. 2025 |
UCA
2 - 3
HER
35%
25%
40%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 ago. 2025 |
UCA
2 - 0
ORI
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 ago. 2025 |
UCA
1 - 2
INT
46%
25%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 ago. 2025 |
UCA
2 - 2
ELD
18%
23%
60%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |