Análisis UD Melilla vs Marbella FC
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
59.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.86
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.4%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.5%
Probabilidad gana
0.93
Goles esperados
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+16%
+12%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 nov. 2014 |
ROD
3 - 2
MEL
33%
27%
40%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 1
RJA
29%
31%
40%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 2014 |
BET
3 - 1
MEL
32%
25%
43%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 oct. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 1
CAD
28%
28%
45%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 oct. 2014 |
VIL
2 - 0
MEL
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
Partidos
Marbella FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 nov. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 0
LOR
26%
27%
47%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 2014 |
UCA
2 - 0
MAR
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 oct. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 1
GRA
31%
28%
42%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 oct. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 1
ARR
34%
26%
40%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 oct. 2014 |
ROD
3 - 1
MAR
50%
25%
25%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |