Análisis CD Mensajero vs Real Jaén
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
40.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.17
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.1%
29.4%
Empate
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
30.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
11.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+37%
-14%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD Mensajero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 dic. 1992 |
XER
1 - 1
CDM
69%
21%
10%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 dic. 1992 |
CDM
3 - 1
POL
50%
26%
24%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 nov. 1992 |
MAR
2 - 2
CDM
62%
24%
14%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 nov. 1992 |
CDM
0 - 1
REC
36%
31%
34%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 nov. 1992 |
MEL
1 - 1
CDM
54%
29%
17%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 dic. 1992 |
CCF
1 - 0
RJA
49%
28%
24%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 dic. 1992 |
RJA
0 - 0
LOG
27%
27%
47%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 nov. 1992 |
RJA
3 - 1
EST
61%
24%
15%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 nov. 1992 |
MAS
1 - 0
RJA
47%
28%
25%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -2 |
| 15 nov. 1992 |
RJA
1 - 1
SRQ
71%
20%
10%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |