Análisis Mercadal vs Platges de Calvià
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
62.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.85
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.1%
Empate
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.8
Goles esperados
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+10%
-11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 may. 2014 |
MNC
1 - 2
MER
42%
25%
33%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 may. 2014 |
MER
2 - 2
MLL
15%
22%
63%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 abr. 2014 |
UDR
1 - 2
MER
23%
22%
55%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 2014 |
MER
2 - 1
PXD
19%
25%
56%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +2 |
| 17 abr. 2014 |
FER
2 - 0
MER
32%
25%
44%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
Partidos
Platges de Calvià
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 may. 2014 |
CFP
1 - 3
CAM
56%
24%
20%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 may. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 1
CFP
33%
24%
43%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 abr. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 1
CFP
61%
22%
17%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 2014 |
CFP
1 - 3
MNC
38%
25%
37%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 abr. 2014 |
MLL
3 - 0
CFP
80%
14%
6%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |