Análisis Mercadal vs Constància
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
45%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.48
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.8%
Empate
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.14
Goles esperados
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+7%
+61%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 nov. 2015 |
BNS
2 - 1
MER
37%
25%
38%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 nov. 2015 |
MER
2 - 0
MLL
24%
26%
50%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +3 |
| 01 nov. 2015 |
SLL
1 - 3
MER
28%
23%
49%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 oct. 2015 |
MER
5 - 2
UDR
67%
20%
14%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 oct. 2015 |
CFP
0 - 1
MER
21%
24%
55%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 nov. 2015 |
CON
2 - 0
SDF
46%
26%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 nov. 2015 |
FER
2 - 0
CON
16%
24%
61%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | -2 |
| 31 oct. 2015 |
CON
4 - 0
CAM
74%
17%
9%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 oct. 2015 |
MNU
2 - 2
CON
22%
26%
52%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 oct. 2015 |
CON
0 - 1
SRF
68%
20%
12%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |