Análisis Mercadal vs Penya Deportiva
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
28.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.98
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.2%
28.3%
Empate
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
43.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.27
Goles esperados
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
-20%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 mar. 2011 |
UDA
0 - 2
MER
23%
24%
53%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 mar. 2011 |
MER
1 - 0
PEN
72%
18%
10%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 mar. 2011 |
CLL
3 - 2
MER
34%
25%
41%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 feb. 2011 |
MER
1 - 2
MNC
38%
26%
35%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 feb. 2011 |
FLN
1 - 1
MER
29%
25%
46%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Penya Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 mar. 2011 |
PXD
2 - 0
PEN
81%
14%
5%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 mar. 2011 |
MNC
1 - 0
PXD
35%
29%
36%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 mar. 2011 |
PXD
3 - 1
LLO
68%
20%
12%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 feb. 2011 |
SNF
1 - 1
PXD
41%
27%
32%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 feb. 2011 |
PXD
1 - 1
FER
73%
18%
9%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |