Análisis Mercadal vs Penya Deportiva
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
36.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.16
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
28.4%
Empate
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
35.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.14
Goles esperados
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+18%
-25%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 abr. 2012 |
LLO
4 - 2
MER
56%
22%
21%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 2012 |
MER
1 - 2
PBL
49%
25%
26%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 2012 |
CON
1 - 0
MER
62%
22%
16%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 mar. 2012 |
MER
2 - 1
BNS
11%
22%
68%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | +4 |
| 24 mar. 2012 |
FLN
2 - 1
MER
29%
26%
46%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
Partidos
Penya Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 abr. 2012 |
PXD
3 - 0
CFP
73%
17%
9%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 abr. 2012 |
UDI
0 - 0
PXD
26%
26%
48%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 abr. 2012 |
PXD
2 - 0
SNF
39%
27%
35%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 abr. 2012 |
BNS
2 - 0
PXD
77%
16%
7%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 2012 |
FRR
1 - 3
PXD
15%
26%
59%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | 0 |