Análisis Mercadal vs Penya Deportiva
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
19.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.84
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.3%
24.8%
Empate
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
55.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.62
Goles esperados
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
-21%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 abr. 2014 |
FER
2 - 0
MER
32%
25%
44%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 2014 |
MER
1 - 1
PCE
55%
23%
22%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 abr. 2014 |
BNS
2 - 0
MER
53%
23%
24%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 mar. 2014 |
MER
1 - 0
SDF
25%
25%
50%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +2 |
| 22 mar. 2014 |
PBL
1 - 1
MER
48%
24%
28%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Penya Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 abr. 2014 |
PXD
2 - 0
CAM
80%
14%
6%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 3
PXD
19%
22%
59%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 abr. 2014 |
PXD
1 - 1
CFP
73%
17%
10%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 mar. 2014 |
MNC
2 - 3
PXD
23%
26%
51%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 mar. 2014 |
PXD
1 - 0
MLL
28%
25%
47%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +2 |