Análisis Mercadal vs Poblense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
65.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.17
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.3%
Empate
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
14.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.92
Goles esperados
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
+32%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 sep. 2010 |
FER
0 - 3
MER
67%
18%
15%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 ago. 2010 |
MER
0 - 2
CON
33%
24%
44%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 may. 2010 |
MER
2 - 3
FRR
60%
21%
19%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 may. 2010 |
ALA
2 - 0
MER
34%
24%
43%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -2 |
| 24 abr. 2010 |
MER
2 - 2
MNU
59%
21%
20%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 sep. 2010 |
CON
3 - 2
PBL
76%
16%
8%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 ago. 2010 |
PBL
3 - 0
NTÑ
82%
13%
5%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 may. 2010 |
PBL
2 - 2
MNU
40%
25%
34%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 may. 2010 |
ALC
2 - 1
PBL
65%
21%
14%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 abr. 2010 |
SCD
2 - 1
PBL
47%
25%
28%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |