Análisis Mercadal vs SD Formentera
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
18.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.88
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
23.2%
Empate
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
58.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.77
Goles esperados
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+13%
-27%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 feb. 2013 |
MNC
4 - 1
MER
52%
24%
25%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 feb. 2013 |
MER
1 - 0
FLN
48%
25%
27%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 2013 |
LLO
4 - 0
MER
67%
19%
14%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 ene. 2013 |
MER
1 - 1
SRF
45%
28%
28%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 ene. 2013 |
MER
1 - 0
ALC
41%
27%
32%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
SD Formentera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 feb. 2013 |
SDF
1 - 2
ALC
74%
16%
10%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 feb. 2013 |
SNF
0 - 2
SDF
28%
24%
48%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 ene. 2013 |
SDF
2 - 2
PXD
59%
22%
19%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 ene. 2013 |
MNU
1 - 0
SDF
26%
25%
49%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 ene. 2013 |
SDF
0 - 1
UDC
75%
16%
10%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | -1 |