Análisis Mérida CP vs Real Aranjuez CF
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
83.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.55
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.8%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.8%
9.9%
Empate
0-0
1%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
9.9%
6.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.02
Goles esperados
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Mérida CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 oct. 1953 |
CDM
1 - 1
MER
63%
18%
20%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 oct. 1953 |
MER
5 - 0
UDG
70%
16%
14%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 oct. 1953 |
CUA
4 - 1
MER
55%
20%
25%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -2 |
| 27 sep. 1953 |
MER
1 - 1
PUE
64%
18%
18%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 sep. 1953 |
MAN
2 - 2
MER
75%
14%
11%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 oct. 1953 |
UDG
0 - 0
ARA
74%
15%
12%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 oct. 1953 |
ARA
5 - 2
PUE
40%
23%
37%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | +5 |
| 04 oct. 1953 |
RAY
4 - 3
ARA
80%
13%
8%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 1953 |
ARA
1 - 1
EXT
37%
23%
40%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 sep. 1953 |
AMI
2 - 1
ARA
85%
10%
6%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |