Análisis Mertskhali vs Samegrelo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
79%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.54
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14%
Empate
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
6.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.62
Goles esperados
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-7%
-12%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Mertskhali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 oct. 1999 |
BAK
1 - 1
MER
26%
23%
51%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 oct. 1999 |
MER
1 - 3
LAZ
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 oct. 1999 |
PAZ
1 - 0
MER
23%
22%
55%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | -2 |
| 03 oct. 1999 |
MER
1 - 1
SHU
31%
25%
45%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 sep. 1999 |
DIN
0 - 0
MER
20%
21%
59%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | -1 |
Partidos
Samegrelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 oct. 1999 |
SAM
1 - 0
SKU
28%
25%
47%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 oct. 1999 |
KOL
1 - 0
SAM
63%
21%
17%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 oct. 1999 |
SAM
5 - 1
CHE
53%
23%
24%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 oct. 1999 |
MEG
1 - 0
SAM
76%
15%
8%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -2 |
| 26 sep. 1999 |
BAK
2 - 1
SAM
70%
18%
12%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |