Análisis ACR Messina vs Cesena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
62.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.92
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.6%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.87
Goles esperados
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+25%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 ago. 2007 |
TRI
1 - 1
MES
30%
28%
42%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 ago. 2007 |
MES
2 - 2
VIC
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 may. 2007 |
ROM
4 - 3
MES
79%
15%
7%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 may. 2007 |
MES
2 - 2
FIO
28%
29%
43%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 may. 2007 |
PAR
4 - 1
MES
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
Partidos
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 ago. 2007 |
CES
1 - 1
CHI
26%
28%
46%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 ago. 2007 |
NAP
4 - 0
CES
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 jun. 2007 |
BRE
4 - 2
CES
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 jun. 2007 |
CES
0 - 1
VER
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 may. 2007 |
LEC
2 - 0
CES
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |