Análisis ACR Messina vs Mantova
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
45.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.42
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.7%
Empate
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
27.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.04
Goles esperados
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+16%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 abr. 1964 |
MES
1 - 0
JUV
21%
24%
55%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 1964 |
INT
4 - 0
MES
78%
15%
8%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 mar. 1964 |
FIO
0 - 1
MES
76%
16%
9%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 mar. 1964 |
MES
0 - 0
CAT
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 1964 |
LAZ
0 - 0
MES
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
Partidos
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 abr. 1964 |
MAN
0 - 0
LAZ
54%
26%
20%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 1964 |
GEN
1 - 0
MAN
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 mar. 1964 |
MAN
1 - 1
JUV
25%
25%
51%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 1964 |
MAN
0 - 3
FIO
26%
26%
48%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 1964 |
SAM
1 - 1
MAN
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |