Análisis ACR Messina vs AC Monza
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
48.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.46
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.5%
Empate
0-0
9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
24.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
-20%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 sep. 1954 |
MES
2 - 1
VIC
51%
27%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 may. 1954 |
MES
2 - 0
VER
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 may. 1954 |
ACM
3 - 0
MES
63%
22%
16%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 may. 1954 |
COM
1 - 0
MES
66%
21%
14%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 may. 1954 |
MES
0 - 1
PAD
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 sep. 1954 |
ASS
1 - 1
PAD
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 may. 1954 |
VIC
1 - 1
ASS
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 may. 1954 |
ASS
0 - 0
USA
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 may. 1954 |
ASS
0 - 0
FAN
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 may. 1954 |
PRO
0 - 1
ASS
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |