Análisis ACR Messina vs AC Monza
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
50.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.44
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
26.9%
Empate
0-0
10%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
22.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.86
Goles esperados
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+17%
-16%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 feb. 1961 |
MES
1 - 0
VER
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 feb. 1961 |
MAN
0 - 0
MES
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 ene. 1961 |
NOV
3 - 1
MES
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 ene. 1961 |
MES
0 - 2
FIO
25%
25%
50%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 ene. 1961 |
PAR
0 - 0
MES
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
Partidos
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 feb. 1961 |
ASS
2 - 0
USF
60%
21%
18%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 feb. 1961 |
USA
0 - 1
ASS
65%
21%
15%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 ene. 1961 |
BRE
0 - 0
ASS
54%
25%
22%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 ene. 1961 |
ASS
3 - 0
ACM
66%
21%
14%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 ene. 1961 |
COM
1 - 1
ASS
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |