Análisis ACR Messina vs SSC Bari
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.9
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.9%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.88
Goles esperados
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+10%
-5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 mar. 2004 |
PES
1 - 2
MES
31%
28%
40%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 2004 |
MES
3 - 0
ATL
38%
28%
35%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +2 |
| 18 mar. 2004 |
SAL
0 - 3
MES
37%
28%
35%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 mar. 2004 |
PIA
1 - 0
MES
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 mar. 2004 |
MES
3 - 2
AVE
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
Partidos
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 mar. 2004 |
BAR
1 - 2
VNZ
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 2004 |
FIO
3 - 1
BAR
68%
20%
13%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 mar. 2004 |
TRI
1 - 0
BAR
56%
24%
21%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 mar. 2004 |
BAR
3 - 2
LIV
38%
28%
34%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 mar. 2004 |
ASC
0 - 0
BAR
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |