Análisis ACR Messina vs Cittadella
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
50%
Probabilidad gana
1.46
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.5%
Empate
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
23.5%
Probabilidad gana
0.91
Goles esperados
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-15%
-7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 may. 2002 |
SAM
2 - 1
MES
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 2002 |
MES
1 - 1
PIS
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 2002 |
NAP
1 - 0
MES
62%
23%
15%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 2002 |
MES
1 - 0
REG
28%
28%
44%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 abr. 2002 |
COS
0 - 0
MES
47%
26%
26%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
Partidos
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 may. 2002 |
CTT
1 - 3
MOD
33%
29%
39%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 2002 |
TER
2 - 1
CTT
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 2002 |
BAR
3 - 2
CTT
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 abr. 2002 |
CTT
1 - 1
SAM
31%
26%
43%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 abr. 2002 |
CAG
1 - 0
CTT
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |