Análisis ACR Messina vs Melfi
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
54.2%
Probabilidad gana
1.65
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.5%
Empate
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.4%
Probabilidad gana
0.94
Goles esperados
0-1
7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 mar. 2016 |
MES
3 - 2
USF
19%
24%
58%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 mar. 2016 |
LCR
0 - 1
MES
36%
27%
37%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 feb. 2016 |
MES
0 - 1
FIA
33%
25%
42%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 feb. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 1
MES
63%
23%
14%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 feb. 2016 |
MES
2 - 2
PAG
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
Partidos
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 mar. 2016 |
ASM
1 - 1
MAR
56%
24%
20%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 mar. 2016 |
LEC
1 - 1
ASM
76%
18%
7%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 feb. 2016 |
ASM
1 - 4
MON
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -2 |
| 21 feb. 2016 |
ASM
3 - 0
ISC
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 feb. 2016 |
BEN
3 - 0
ASM
67%
21%
12%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |