Análisis ACR Messina vs Spezia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.92
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.4%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
15.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.83
Goles esperados
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+17%
-2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 may. 2008 |
RAV
1 - 0
MES
27%
27%
46%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 abr. 2008 |
MES
2 - 0
PIA
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 abr. 2008 |
AVE
1 - 2
MES
35%
26%
38%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 2008 |
PIS
0 - 0
MES
44%
28%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 2008 |
MES
2 - 3
CHI
29%
28%
43%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
Partidos
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 may. 2008 |
CHI
5 - 0
SPE
74%
17%
9%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 abr. 2008 |
SPE
2 - 2
AVE
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 abr. 2008 |
SPE
1 - 0
CES
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 2008 |
BAR
2 - 1
SPE
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 2008 |
SPE
2 - 0
RAV
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |