Análisis ACR Messina vs Brescia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
51.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.49
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
26.3%
Empate
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
22%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.87
Goles esperados
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
-5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 feb. 1955 |
MES
1 - 1
TAR
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 feb. 1955 |
ASS
1 - 1
MES
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 feb. 1955 |
VIC
4 - 1
MES
66%
20%
13%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 ene. 1955 |
MES
1 - 1
MOD
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 ene. 1955 |
CAG
0 - 1
MES
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 feb. 1955 |
BRE
1 - 0
VIC
43%
27%
29%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 feb. 1955 |
PAR
2 - 1
BRE
71%
17%
12%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 feb. 1955 |
BRE
2 - 1
USA
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 ene. 1955 |
TRE
1 - 2
BRE
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 ene. 1955 |
UNI
1 - 1
BRE
72%
17%
11%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |