Análisis ACR Messina vs Padova
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
45.6%
Probabilidad gana
1.44
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.3%
Empate
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
28.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.07
Goles esperados
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+27%
-16%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 nov. 1962 |
ASL
1 - 1
MES
49%
26%
24%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 nov. 1962 |
USA
1 - 2
MES
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 oct. 1962 |
MES
1 - 0
ASS
65%
22%
13%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 oct. 1962 |
MES
2 - 0
LEC
51%
25%
25%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 oct. 1962 |
VER
0 - 0
MES
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 nov. 1962 |
PAD
2 - 0
SSS
72%
17%
11%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 nov. 1962 |
PAD
3 - 2
UDI
62%
20%
18%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 oct. 1962 |
COM
0 - 2
PAD
40%
29%
31%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | +1 |
| 21 oct. 1962 |
PAD
1 - 3
ASL
71%
17%
12%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 oct. 1962 |
CAG
0 - 0
PAD
38%
27%
34%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |