Análisis ACR Messina vs Catanzaro
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.8
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.7%
Empate
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.83
Goles esperados
0-1
6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+17%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 may. 1963 |
COM
2 - 0
MES
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 may. 1963 |
LAZ
5 - 1
MES
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 may. 1963 |
MES
2 - 0
BRE
58%
23%
18%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 abr. 1963 |
MES
0 - 0
PAR
70%
20%
11%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 1963 |
SSS
2 - 1
MES
34%
31%
36%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
Partidos
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 may. 1963 |
FCC
2 - 1
UDI
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 may. 1963 |
FCC
0 - 0
BRE
50%
28%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 may. 1963 |
PAD
1 - 0
FCC
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 abr. 1963 |
SSS
0 - 0
FCC
41%
28%
31%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 1963 |
FCC
1 - 0
VER
45%
29%
27%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |