Análisis ACR Messina vs Fortis Trani
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.91
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.5%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.82
Goles esperados
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 sep. 1965 |
MES
1 - 0
ASS
61%
23%
17%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 1965 |
LIV
1 - 0
MES
45%
29%
26%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 sep. 1965 |
REG
1 - 1
MES
47%
28%
25%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 ago. 1965 |
FCC
2 - 0
MES
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -2 |
| 06 jun. 1965 |
MES
4 - 0
LAZ
46%
29%
25%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
Partidos
Fortis Trani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 sep. 1965 |
NOV
3 - 0
FOR
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 1965 |
FOR
0 - 0
VER
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 sep. 1965 |
FOR
1 - 1
MOD
42%
29%
29%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 jun. 1965 |
FOR
1 - 0
ASS
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 jun. 1965 |
FOR
2 - 2
LEC
38%
30%
32%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |