Análisis ACR Messina vs Modena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
54.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.58
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.2%
Empate
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
19.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 ene. 1955 |
CAG
0 - 1
MES
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 ene. 1955 |
USA
1 - 1
MES
60%
23%
18%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 ene. 1955 |
MES
2 - 0
ACM
49%
27%
24%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 ene. 1955 |
MES
1 - 0
PAV
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 dic. 1954 |
COM
0 - 0
MES
66%
20%
13%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 ene. 1955 |
MOD
3 - 1
TRE
56%
25%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 ene. 1955 |
SAL
1 - 0
MOD
51%
26%
24%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 ene. 1955 |
MOD
0 - 0
COM
49%
27%
25%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 dic. 1954 |
BRE
2 - 0
MOD
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 dic. 1954 |
VER
2 - 0
MOD
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |