Análisis ACR Messina vs Modena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
46.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.38
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.3%
Empate
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
26.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+13%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 oct. 1958 |
MES
1 - 1
SSS
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 oct. 1958 |
ACM
3 - 0
MES
71%
18%
12%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 sep. 1958 |
VER
3 - 1
MES
74%
16%
10%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 sep. 1958 |
MES
2 - 0
COM
45%
29%
26%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 sep. 1958 |
NAP
5 - 0
MES
83%
11%
6%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
Partidos
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 oct. 1958 |
CAT
3 - 0
MOD
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 oct. 1958 |
MOD
1 - 1
VIG
61%
21%
18%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 sep. 1958 |
CAG
0 - 0
MOD
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 sep. 1958 |
MOD
1 - 0
SSS
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 sep. 1958 |
LAQ
2 - 0
MOD
37%
24%
39%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | -1 |