Análisis ACR Messina vs Novara
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
52.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.45
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.9%
26.8%
Empate
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
21%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.81
Goles esperados
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+20%
-10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 feb. 1960 |
BRE
1 - 0
MES
55%
25%
21%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 ene. 1960 |
MES
1 - 0
ACM
47%
28%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 ene. 1960 |
TAR
1 - 2
MES
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 ene. 1960 |
REG
3 - 1
MES
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 ene. 1960 |
MES
1 - 2
TOR
30%
28%
42%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
Partidos
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 feb. 1960 |
NOV
2 - 1
MAN
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 ene. 1960 |
SSS
0 - 0
NOV
56%
25%
20%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 ene. 1960 |
NOV
1 - 2
COM
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 ene. 1960 |
TAR
1 - 0
NOV
53%
25%
21%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 ene. 1960 |
TOR
1 - 0
NOV
74%
16%
10%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |