Análisis ACR Messina vs Novara
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.74
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.5%
Empate
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.86
Goles esperados
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+16%
-6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 abr. 1962 |
LAZ
4 - 1
MES
59%
23%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 abr. 1962 |
BAR
2 - 0
MES
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 abr. 1962 |
MES
1 - 0
ASS
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 abr. 1962 |
MES
2 - 0
USA
54%
25%
22%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 1962 |
SSS
0 - 0
MES
48%
28%
24%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 abr. 1962 |
SPA
3 - 1
NOV
67%
18%
15%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 abr. 1962 |
NOV
0 - 0
REG
52%
25%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 1962 |
INT
1 - 2
NOV
86%
9%
5%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | +1 |
| 22 abr. 1962 |
SSS
1 - 1
NOV
50%
27%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 1962 |
NOV
0 - 0
VER
52%
27%
21%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |