Análisis ACR Messina vs Parma
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
38.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.37
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.9%
Empate
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
35.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.32
Goles esperados
0-1
9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+22%
+7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 dic. 2006 |
INT
2 - 0
MES
80%
14%
6%
|
77 | 93 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 dic. 2006 |
ATL
3 - 2
MES
55%
25%
20%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 dic. 2006 |
MES
0 - 2
SAM
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 nov. 2006 |
INT
4 - 0
MES
82%
14%
5%
|
79 | 93 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 nov. 2006 |
ACM
1 - 0
MES
82%
13%
5%
|
79 | 94 | 15 | 0 |
Partidos
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 dic. 2006 |
PAR
2 - 2
CHI
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 2006 |
PAR
0 - 3
OSA
37%
26%
37%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 dic. 2006 |
CAG
0 - 0
PAR
40%
27%
34%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 dic. 2006 |
PAR
3 - 1
NAP
73%
18%
9%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 dic. 2006 |
PAR
0 - 0
PAL
45%
27%
28%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |