Análisis ACR Messina vs Roma
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
19.7%
Probabilidad gana
0.78
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.8%
26.5%
Empate
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
53.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.48
Goles esperados
0-1
15.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+17%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 sep. 2004 |
MES
0 - 1
SIE
52%
25%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 2004 |
PAR
0 - 0
MES
74%
17%
9%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 ago. 2004 |
CRO
0 - 1
MES
33%
27%
41%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 ago. 2004 |
MES
4 - 0
ACI
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 ago. 2004 |
BAR
1 - 2
MES
36%
27%
37%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 sep. 2004 |
ROM
0 - 3
DYN
66%
20%
15%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 2004 |
ROM
1 - 0
FIO
80%
13%
7%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 may. 2004 |
SAM
0 - 0
ROM
25%
27%
48%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 may. 2004 |
ROM
1 - 3
PRG
73%
17%
11%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 may. 2004 |
ACM
1 - 0
ROM
57%
23%
20%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |