Análisis ACR Messina vs Salernitana
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.84
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.7%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
-11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 ene. 1953 |
GEN
1 - 0
MES
69%
18%
13%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 ene. 1953 |
MES
3 - 1
ASS
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 ene. 1953 |
BRE
1 - 1
MES
57%
23%
19%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 dic. 1952 |
UNI
2 - 0
MES
74%
15%
11%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 1952 |
MES
2 - 0
VIC
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 ene. 1953 |
SAL
1 - 0
TRE
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 ene. 1953 |
SAL
1 - 1
FAN
54%
23%
23%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 ene. 1953 |
ASS
2 - 1
SAL
58%
22%
20%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 dic. 1952 |
CAG
3 - 2
SAL
76%
15%
9%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 dic. 1952 |
SAL
1 - 1
ATP
54%
23%
23%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |