Serie B Jor. 10

Análisis ACR Messina vs Salernitana

ACR Messina Salernitana
64 ELO 58
-2.9% Tilt -14.6%
3739º Ranking ELO general 409º
124º Ranking ELO país 32º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
54.7%
ACR Messina
23.7%
Empate
21.6%
Salernitana

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
54.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
ACR Messina
1.73
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.7%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
Salernitana
1
Goles esperados
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
ACR Messina
+17%
-3%
Salernitana

Progresión del ELO

ACR Messina
Salernitana
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

ACR Messina
ACR Messina
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 oct. 2003
MES
ACR Messina
2 - 0
Piacenza
PIA
27%
28%
46%
62 77 15 0
12 oct. 2003
AVE
Avellino
0 - 1
ACR Messina
MES
37%
28%
34%
62 56 6 0
08 oct. 2003
LIV
Livorno
3 - 0
ACR Messina
MES
60%
23%
18%
63 67 4 -1
04 oct. 2003
MES
ACR Messina
2 - 2
Cagliari
CAG
38%
27%
36%
62 69 7 +1
27 sep. 2003
CAT
Catania
1 - 0
ACR Messina
MES
51%
26%
24%
63 63 0 -1

Partidos

Salernitana
Salernitana
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 oct. 2003
SAL
Salernitana
1 - 0
Avellino
AVE
52%
26%
22%
58 56 2 0
12 oct. 2003
PIA
Piacenza
1 - 0
Salernitana
SAL
75%
16%
9%
59 77 18 -1
08 oct. 2003
TOR
Torino
0 - 1
Salernitana
SAL
66%
21%
13%
58 74 16 +1
04 oct. 2003
SAL
Salernitana
1 - 0
Fiorentina
FIO
16%
24%
60%
56 78 22 +2
30 sep. 2003
SAL
Salernitana
0 - 2
Reggina
REG
19%
24%
57%
57 80 23 -1