Análisis ACR Messina vs Siena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
51.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.61
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.9%
Empate
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
23.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.01
Goles esperados
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+22%
-10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 sep. 2004 |
SIE
1 - 1
MES
49%
27%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 sep. 2004 |
MES
0 - 0
CHI
40%
27%
34%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 sep. 2004 |
ACM
1 - 2
MES
83%
12%
5%
|
74 | 92 | 18 | +1 |
| 19 sep. 2004 |
MES
4 - 3
ROM
20%
27%
54%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 sep. 2004 |
MES
0 - 1
SIE
52%
25%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 sep. 2004 |
SIE
1 - 1
MES
49%
27%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 sep. 2004 |
SIE
0 - 0
REG
37%
28%
36%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 sep. 2004 |
CAG
2 - 0
SIE
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 sep. 2004 |
SIE
2 - 1
SAM
40%
28%
32%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 sep. 2004 |
MES
0 - 1
SIE
52%
25%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |