Análisis ACR Messina vs Treviso
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.84
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.4%
Empate
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+19%
-7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 abr. 2004 |
FIO
2 - 0
MES
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 abr. 2004 |
MES
2 - 1
VNZ
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 abr. 2004 |
VER
0 - 0
MES
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 abr. 2004 |
MES
1 - 0
BAR
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 mar. 2004 |
PES
1 - 2
MES
31%
28%
40%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
Partidos
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 abr. 2004 |
TRE
1 - 1
TER
37%
27%
36%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 abr. 2004 |
PAL
2 - 3
TRE
65%
22%
14%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 abr. 2004 |
TRE
1 - 1
LIV
32%
27%
41%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 abr. 2004 |
TRI
1 - 0
TRE
59%
23%
17%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 mar. 2004 |
TRE
2 - 1
AVE
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |