Análisis ACR Messina vs Avellino
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
66.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.2%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
12.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.74
Goles esperados
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+19%
+7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 mar. 2004 |
CAG
1 - 1
MES
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 feb. 2004 |
MES
3 - 0
CAT
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 feb. 2004 |
VIC
2 - 1
MES
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 2004 |
MES
1 - 1
TER
45%
26%
30%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 2004 |
NAP
1 - 0
MES
41%
29%
31%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
Partidos
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 mar. 2004 |
VIC
2 - 2
AVE
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 feb. 2004 |
AVE
1 - 0
VNZ
29%
28%
43%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 feb. 2004 |
NAP
1 - 0
AVE
61%
24%
16%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 feb. 2004 |
AVE
1 - 1
LIV
26%
28%
46%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 feb. 2004 |
PAL
1 - 1
AVE
67%
21%
12%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |